Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.590889 2.726976 2.868665 3.027619 3.201485 3.386461 3.598902
2025-11-02 2.335686 2.529301 2.740676 2.990304 3.279342 3.606368 4.008567
2025-11-09 2.157723 2.379238 2.628597 2.933350 3.300381 3.734428 4.296452
2025-11-16 2.034754 2.275029 2.552017 2.899883 3.332499 3.863470 4.582504
2025-11-23 1.960074 2.218620 2.523066 2.915014 3.417226 4.055883 4.959849
2025-11-30 1.893803 2.166110 2.492650 2.922226 3.487471 4.229918 5.325410
2025-12-07 1.801167 2.075402 2.408536 2.853667 3.450888 4.254528 5.478761
2025-12-14 1.725530 2.001554 2.340828 2.800700 3.428985 4.294006 5.653114
2025-12-21 1.673888 1.954953 2.304629 2.785710 3.455644 4.400914 5.937302
2025-12-28 1.626670 1.911580 2.269962 2.769812 3.478371 4.501625 6.220310
2026-01-04 1.593579 1.884657 2.254994 2.778966 3.535846 4.656585 6.608564
2026-01-11 1.566061 1.863575 2.246324 2.795539 3.603919 4.831695 7.052427
2026-01-18 1.532985 1.834945 2.227552 2.798616 3.654725 4.988234 7.495108
2026-01-25 1.489137 1.790652 2.185957 2.767166 3.651389 5.057292 7.786757
2026-02-01 1.441630 1.739831 2.133385 2.717020 3.615537 5.068384 7.965844
2026-02-08 1.404192 1.701312 2.096257 2.687480 3.609647 5.128914 8.252843
2026-02-15 1.383460 1.684624 2.088643 2.700840 3.672164 5.312667 8.829040
2026-02-22 1.361695 1.665709 2.076992 2.707207 3.723149 5.479869 9.401035
2026-03-01 1.319848 1.617977 2.022892 2.646639 3.659806 5.431717 9.466485
2026-03-08 1.284313 1.578101 1.978847 2.599771 3.616835 5.418199 9.613624
2026-03-15 1.260935 1.554448 1.957253 2.586495 3.629504 5.510610 10.038597
2026-03-22 1.238432 1.531412 1.935787 2.572409 3.639713 5.598715 10.470721
2026-03-29 1.223539 1.518624 1.928733 2.580521 3.688615 5.767433 11.157685